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OPEC表示供应问题不足虑,中东局势或继续推高油价

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2018年11月16日 22:40:36
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(原)(标)(题)(:OPEC表)(示)(供)(应)(问)(题)(不)(足)(虑)(,中)(东)(局)(势)(或)(继)(续)(推)(高)(油)(价)(
阿)(联)(酋)(表)(示)(,在)(下)(次)(会)(议)(上)(,OPEC将)(更)(关)(注)(于)(确)(定)(石)(油)(库)(存)(的)(恰)(当)(水)(平)(,而)(不)(是)(美)(国)(对)(伊)(朗)(实)(施)(新)(制)(裁)(带)(来)(的)(影)(响)(。
OPEC将)(关)(注)(库)(存)(水)(平)(
美)(国)(总)(统)(特)(朗)(普)((DonaldTrump)上)(周)(表)(示)(,美)(国)(将)(正)(式)(退)(出)(伊)(朗)(核)(协)(议)(,并)(将)(对)(伊)(朗)(实)(施)(最)(大)(程)(度)(的)(经)(济)(制)(裁)(。伊)(朗)(是)(OPEC的)(第)(三)(大)(产)(油)(国)(,外)(界)(担)(心)(美)(国)(此)(举)(对)(油)(价)(产)(生)(影)(响)(。
5月)(13日)(,在)(被)(问)(及)(对)(石)(油)(供)(应)(的)(担)(忧)(时)(,阿)(联)(酋)(能)(源)(部)(长)(马)(兹)(鲁)(伊)((SuhailbinMohammedal-Mazroui)告)(诉)(记)(者)(:“这)(不)(是)(我)(们)(现)(在)(担)(心)(的)(问)(题)(。”他)(称)(:“在)(下)(次)(OPEC会)(议)(上)(,我)(们)(关)(注)(的)(是)(能)(达)(到)(的)(适)(当)(库)(存)(水)(平)(,以)(及)(如)(何)(让)(OPEC团)(结)(的)(时)(间)(更)(长)(。”
OPEC有)(一)(个)(自)(我)(设)(定)(的)(目)(标)(,即)(把)(业)(化)(工)(国)(家)(的)(石)(油)(库)(存)(降)(至)(五)(年)(平)(均)(水)(平)(。OPEC官)(员)(表)(示)(,需)(要)(在)(6月)(份)(确)(定)(库)(存)(目)(标)(,以)(衡)(量)(减)(产)(协)(议)(能)(否)(成)(功)(。
伊)(朗)(石)(油)(出)(口)(下)(滑)(将)(对)(油)(价)(产)(生)(上)(行)(压)(力)(。由)(于)(OPEC和)(非)(OPEC产)(油)(国)(之)(间)(的)(全)(球)(供)(应)(减)(少)(,油)(价)(今)(年)(已)(经)(出)(现)(上)(涨)(。在)(特)(朗)(普)(宣)(布)(退)(出)(伊)(朗)(核)(协)(议)(后)(,布)(伦)(特)(原)(油)(价)(格)(进)(一)(步)(上)(涨)(,上)(周)(五)(收)(于)(每)(桶)(77.12美)(元)(。
OPEC定)(于)(今)(年)(6月)(召)(开)(会)(议)(,与)(参)(与)(减)(产)(协)(议)(的)(非)(OPEC产)(油)(国)(共)(同)(制)(定)(石)(油)(政)(策)(。
阿)(联)(酋)(称)(无)(需)(担)(忧)(供)(应)(问)(题)(
阿)(联)(酋)(能)(源)(部)(长)(马)(兹)(鲁)(伊)(称)(,没)(有)(理)(由)(担)(心)(石)(油)(的)(供)(应)(,这)(不)(是)(OPEC成)(员)(国)(第)(一)(次)(出)(现)(这)(种)(情)(况)(。他)(称)(:“我)(们)(设)(法)(解)(决)(了)(供)(应)(问)(题)(。我)(们)(相)(信)(在)(供)(应)(方)(面)(依)(然)(拥)(有)(缓)(冲)(能)(力)(。我)(们)(将)(在)(6月)(份)(开)(会)(讨)(论)(这)(个)(问)(题)(。历)(史)(告)(诉)(我)(们)(,当)(这)(种)(情)(况)(发)(生)(时)(,所)(有)(OPEC成)(员)(国)(会)(团)(结)(起)(来)(,他)(们)(会)(找)(到)(解)(决)(的)(办)(法)(。”
马)(兹)(鲁)(伊)(在)(接)(受)(采)(访)(时)(表)(示)(,如)(果)(美)(国)(重)(新)(对)(伊)(朗)(实)(施)(制)(裁)(,OPEC有)(足)(够)(的)(闲)(置)(产)(能)(来)(缓)(冲)(石)(油)(市)(场)(。沙)(特)(、科)(威)(特)(和)(阿)(联)(酋)(三)(名)(OPEC成)(员)(国)(拥)(有)(足)(够)(的)(产)(能)(。
中)(东)(局)(势)(升)(级)(或)(推)(高)(油)(价)(
巴)(克)(莱)((BarclaysPlc)预)(计)(美)(国)(此)(举)(对)(石)(油)(市)(场)(的)(影)(响)(有)(限)(,但)(其)(他)(分)(析)(机)(构)(的)(观)(点)(有)(所)(不)(同)(。FGE全)(球)(能)(源)(咨)(询)(公)(司)(预)(测)(,伊)(朗)(每)(日)(生)(产)(270万)(桶)(石)(油)(,美)(国)(重)(启)(制)(裁)(将)(导)(致)(该)(国)(石)(油)(产)(量)(减)(少)(逾)(50%。
英)(国)(石)(油)(公)(司)(的)(首)(席)(执)(行)(官)(达)(德)(利)((BobDudley)接)(受)(采)(访)(时)(表)(示)(,美)(国)(退)(出)(伊)(朗)(核)(协)(议)(会)(导)(致)(每)(日)(100万)(桶)(石)(油)(流)(出)(市)(场)(,这)(当)(然)(会)(影)(响)(市)(场)(。这)(方)(面)(存)(在)(很)(多)(不)(确)(定)(因)(素)(。
让)(市)(场)(担)(心)(的)(是)(,伊)(朗)(革)(命)(卫)(队)(副)(司)(令)(曾)(表)(示)(,伊)(朗)(无)(惧)(美)(国)(制)(裁)(或)(军)(事)(袭)(击)(,准)(备)(好)(应)(对)(最)(坏)(的)(情)(况)(。这)(或)(表)(明)(若)(伊)(朗)(核)(协)(议)(崩)(溃)(,伊)(朗)(再)(度)(受)(到)(制)(裁)(将)(会)(采)(取)(报)(复)(措)(施)(。
而)(美)(国)(总)(统)(特)(朗)(普)(宣)(布)(退)(出)(伊)(朗)(核)(计)(划)(协)(议)(后)(第)(三)(天)(,以)(色)(列)(猛)(烈)(空)(袭)(叙)(利)(亚)(境)(内)(伊)(朗)(目)(标)(,报)(复)(伊)(方)(的)(火)(箭)(弹)(袭)(击)(;俄)(罗)(斯)(、德)(国)(和)(法)(国)(对)(紧)(张)(局)(势)(升)(级)(表)(达)(忧)(虑)(,呼)(吁)(伊)(以)(双)(方)(保)(持)(克)(制)(。
CNBC高)(级)(分)(析)(师)(RonInsana表)(示)(,是)(时)(候)(为)(石)(油)(达)(到)(100美)(元)(/桶)(做)(准)(备)(了)(。若)(中)(东)(局)(势)(持)(续)(升)(级)(,石)(油)(升)(至)(150美)(元)(也)(可)(能)(成)(为)(现)(实)(。他)(指)(出)(,石)(油)(的)(地)(缘)(政)(治)(风)(险)(溢)(价)(已)(推)(动)(原)(油)(价)(格)(升)(至)(近)(4年)(高)(位)(,且)(丝)(毫)(没)(有)(减)(弱)(的)(迹)(象)(。与)(此)(同)(时)(,美)(国)(夏)(季)(驾)(车)(高)(峰)(开)(始)(,意)(味)(着)(消)(费)(者)(应)(预)(期)(加)(油)(站)(的)(油)(价)(上)(涨)(,可)(能)(会)(超)(过)(3美)(元)(/加)(仑)(,可)(能)(会)(更)(高)(。此)(外)(,美)(国)(退)(出)(伊)(朗)(核)(协)(议)(,伊)(朗)(与)(以)(色)(列)(在)(叙)(利)(亚)(前)(所)(未)(有)(的)(火)(箭)(弹)(相)(互)(袭)(击)(,以)(及)(美)(国)(、沙)(特)(和)(以)(色)(列)(都)(认)(为)(伊)(朗)(的)(地)(区)(扩)(张)(应)(该)(停)(止)(,所)(有)(这)(些)(都)(暗)(示)(,油)(价)(将)(继)(续)(上)(涨)(。
美)(国)(投)(资)(银)(行)(在)(报)(告)(中)(指)(出)(,有)(迹)(象)(表)(明)(,OPEC的)(其)(他)(成)(员)(国)(将)(提)(高)(产)(量)(,以)(填)(补)(伊)(朗)(留)(下)(的)(石)(油)(供)(应)(缺)(口)(。OPEC有)(能)(力)(“取)(代)(伊)(朗)(的)(缺)(口)(”,但)(该)(银)(行)(补)(充)(称)(,即)(使)(实)(际)(供)(应)(保)(持)(不)(变)(,市)(场)(仍)(将)(面)(临)(低)(水)(平)(的)(闲)(置)(产)(能)(。
由)(此)(看)(出)(,除)(了)(美)(国)(恢)(复)(制)(裁)(伊)(朗)(,未)(来)(推)(高)(油)(价)(的)(因)(素)(还)(有)(很)(多)(,短)(期)(来)(看)(,中)(东)(局)(势)(将)(成)(为)(影)(响)(油)(价)(的)(最)(大)(因)(素)(之)(一)(,油)(价)(未)(来)(进)(一)(步)(上)(涨)(的)(可)(能)(性)(依)(然)(很)(高)(。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
声)(明)(:该)(文)(观)(点)(仅)(代)(表)(作)(者)(本)(人)(,搜)(狐)(号)(系)(信)(息)(发)(布)(平)(台)(,搜)(狐)(仅)(提)(供)(信)(息)(存)(储)(空)(间)(服)(务)(。
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