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安倍经济学的“棒冰”样本

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2018年11月16日 22:38:01
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(  上)(周)(,日)(本)(一)(家)(棒)(冰)(公)(司)(因)(涨)(价)(10日)(元)((约)(合)(人)(民)(币)(0.6元)()向)(日)(本)(全)(社)(会)(鞠)(躬)(致)(歉)(的)(视)(频)(火)(遍)(互)(联)(网)(。虽)(存)(在)(些)(许)(质)(疑)(,但)(暂)(不)(论)(这)(次)(引)(人)(瞩)(目)(的)(道)(歉)(是)(出)(于)(厚)(道)(的)(企)(业)(文)(化)(还)(是)(一)(场)(以)(促)(销)(为)(目)(的)(的)(“企)(业)(秀)(”——真)(正)(需)(要)(被)(注)(意)(的)(是)(日)(本)(部)(分)(物)(价)(上)(涨)(背)(后)(的)(“安)(倍)(经)(济)(学)(”动)(向)(。
  物)(价)(“快)(进)(”与)(工)(资)(“暂)(停)(”
  据)(悉)(,日)(本)(这)(款)(名)(为)(嘎)(哩)(嘎)(哩)(君)(的)(棒)(冰)(在)(当)(地)(的)(受)(欢)(迎)(程)(度)(堪)(称)(“国)(民)(”级)(别)(。自)(1991年)(以)(来)(,嘎)(哩)(嘎)(哩)(君)(棒)(冰)(的)(售)(价)(一)(直)(都)(是)(在)(60日)(元)((约)(合)(人)(民)(币)(3.4元)()。但)(从)(本)(月)(1日)(起)(,这)(个)(维)(持)(了)(25年)(的)(价)(格)(变)(成)(了)(70日)(元)((约)(合)(人)(民)(币)(4元)()。
  对)(此)(,嘎)(哩)(嘎)(哩)(君)(生)(产)(商)(赤)(城)(乳)(业)(给)(出)(的)(调)(价)(理)(由)(是)(:世)(界)(食)(品)(需)(求)(的)(变)(化)(、物)(流)(费)(用)(的)(增)(加)((10%)、原)(材)(料)((果)(汁)(上)(涨)(40%)和)(包)(装)(材)(料)((木)(棒)(上)(涨)(90%)的)(供)(求)(失)(衡)(致)(使)(价)(格)(高)(涨)(、用)(人)(成)(本)(增)(加)(等)(,使)(得)(企)(业)(仅)(靠)(自)(身)(努)(力)(已)(不)(能)(维)(持)(生)(计)(。
  可)(以)(看)(到)(,在)(日)(本)(“国)(民)(”级)(棒)(冰)(调)(价)(背)(后)(的)(主)(要)(原)(因)(,在)(于)(日)(本)(国)(内)(物)(价)(的)(陆)(续)(上)(涨)(。
  除)(了)(嘎)(哩)(嘎)(哩)(君)(棒)(冰)(,日)(本)(公)(益)(财)(团)(法)(人)(盐)(事)(业)(中)(心)(也)(宣)(布)(,本)(月)(1日)(开)(始)(将)(100克)(装)(小)(瓶)(食)(盐)(和)(800克)(装)(大)(袋)(食)(盐)(的)(价)(格)(上)(调)(约)(35%,这)(是)(日)(本)(24年)(来)(首)(次)(上)(调)(盐)(价)(。
  此)(外)(,根)(据)(日)(媒)(统)(计)(,日)(本)(至)(少)(有)(9类)(食)(品)(或)(服)(务)(在)(4月)(进)(行)(了)(涨)(价)(,这)(其)(中)(包)(括)(北)(海)(道)(的)(纳)(豆)(、袋)(装)(玉)(米)(粉)(、威)(士)(忌)(和)(《狮)(子)(王)(》公)(演)(门)(票)(等)(。
  值)(得)(注)(意)(的)(是)(,在)(日)(本)(的)(涨)(价)(大)(军)(日)(渐)(壮)(大)(的)(同)(时)(,日)(本)(民)(众)(的)(工)(资)(水)(平)(近)(20年)(来)(却)(未)(见)(提)(高)(。
  日)(本)(著)(野)(村)(证)(券)(前)(会)(长)(氏)(家)(纯)(一)(指)(出)(,在)(过)(去)(的)(十)(几)(年)(间)(,日)(本)(每)(年)(都)(在)(减)(少)(奖)(金)(,很)(多)(公)(司)(也)(开)(始)(雇)(佣)(工)(资)(相)(对)(较)(低)(的)(临)(时)(性)(员)(工)(来)(代)(替)(长)(期)(雇)(员)(,这)(使)(得)(日)(本)(名)(义)(工)(资)(水)(平)(不)(断)(下)(降)(、大)(众)(购)(物)(不)(断)(减)(少)(,进)(而)(加)(重)(日)(本)(经)(济)(的)(停)(滞)(状)(态)(。
  “安)(倍)(经)(济)(学)(”是)(罪)(魁)(?
  目)(前)(飞)(涨)(的)(原)(料)(价)(格)(与)(“二)(十)(年)(如)(一)(日)(”的)(工)(资)(令)(日)(本)(民)(众)(对)(当)(前)(的)(经)(济)(状)(况)(相)(当)(不)(满)(。在)(日)(本)(舆)(论)(看)(来)(,这)(一)(切)(与)(“安)(倍)(经)(济)(学)(”有)(着)(密)(不)(可)(分)(的)(关)(系)(。
  安)(倍)(2012年)(第)(二)(次)(执)(政)(以)(来)(,先)(后)(推)(出)(了)(包)(括)(金)(融)(宽)(松)(、积)(极)(财)(政)(和)(增)(长)(战)(略)(在)(内)(的)(经)(济)(刺)(激)(“三)(支)(箭)(”。对)(此)(,外)(交)(学)(院)(国)(际)(关)(系)(研)(究)(所)(教)(授)(、日)(本)(问)(题)(专)(家)(周)(永)(生)(指)(出)(,“安)(倍)(经)(济)(学)(”一)(个)(很)(重)(要)(的)(措)(施)(是)(量)(化)(宽)(松)(政)(策)(,但)(这)(个)(政)(策)(的)(缺)(陷)(在)(于)(印)(钞)(不)(停)(所)(导)(致)(的)(日)(元)(大)(幅)(贬)(值)(,以)(及)(对)(本)(国)(物)(价)(的)(推)(升)(。
  不)(过)(,中)(国)(社)(科)(院)(日)(本)(研)(究)(所)(日)(本)(经)(济)(研)(究)(室)(主)(任)(张)(季)(风)(在)(接)(受)(北)(京)(商)(报)(记)(者)(采)(访)(时)(表)(示)(,物)(价)(的)(上)(涨)(存)(在)(包)(括)(季)(节)(性)(、临)(时)(性)(、长)(期)(性)(等)(多)(重)(影)(响)(因)(素)(,并)(不)(能)(因)(为)(几)(种)(商)(品)(的)(价)(格)(上)(涨)(而)(断)(言)(直)(接)(推)(手)(是)(“安)(倍)(经)(济)(学)(”。
  同)(时)(,张)(季)(风)(还)(指)(出)(,“安)(倍)(经)(济)(学)(”本)(身)(是)(特)(别)(希)(望)(通)(过)(物)(价)(上)(涨)(来)(改)(善)(通)(缩)(问)(题)(的)(,但)(事)(实)(是)(,“安)(倍)(经)(济)(学)(”实)(施)(三)(年)(来)(物)(价)(始)(终)(徘)(徊)(原)(地)(,通)(胀)(目)(标)(也)(难)(以)(达)(到)(。因)(此)(,如)(果)(物)(价)(在)(此)(时)(真)(正)(得)(到)(上)(涨)(,可)(以)(说)(这)(将)(是)(安)(倍)(乐)(于)(看)(到)(的)(。
  印)(不)(出)(复)(苏)(的)(印)(钞)(机)(
  2012年)(10月)(大)(选)(时)(,时)(任)(自)(民)(党)(总)(裁)(安)(倍)(声)(称)(只)(要)(开)(动)(印)(钞)(机)(大)(印)(钞)(票)(,就)(能)(摆)(脱)(通)(缩)(,日)(本)(经)(济)(也)(会)(随)(之)(恢)(复)(。三)(年)(已)(经)(过)(去)(,但)(靠)(着)(这)(一)(论)(调)(赢)(得)(大)(选)(的)(安)(倍)(却)(没)(能)(带)(来)(日)(本)(民)(众)(期)(盼)(的)(复)(苏)(。
  今)(年)(2月)(,日)(本)(内)(阁)(府)(公)(布)(2015年)(四)(季)(度)(经)(济)(负)(增)(长)(后)(,不)(少)(日)(本)(媒)(体)(开)(始)(哀)(叹)(“安)(倍)(经)(济)(学)(”已)(走)(进)(了)(死)(胡)(同)(,更)(有)(国)(内)(经)(济)(学)(家)(直)(指)(安)(倍)(正)(在)(拖)(垮)(日)(本)(经)(济)(。根)(据)(日)(本)(共)(同)(社)(最)(近)(的)(一)(项)(调)(查)(,81.4%的)(受)(访)(者)(表)(示)(“没)(有)(实)(际)(感)(受)(到)(”安)(倍)(政)(府)(经)(济)(政)(策)(对)(经)(济)(复)(苏)(的)(促)(进)(作)(用)(。
  尽)(管)(部)(分)(物)(价)(在)(本)(月)(得)(到)(上)(涨)(,但)(根)(据)(日)(本)(上)(周)(发)(布)(的)(2月)(CPI数)(据)(,在)(扣)(除)(了)(新)(鲜)(食)(品)(之)(后)(的)(物)(价)(指)(数)(仍)(维)(持)(不)(变)(,可)(见)(日)(本)(的)(通)(胀)(水)(平)(仍)(然)(令)(人)(失)(望)(。专)(家)(指)(出)(,微)(弱)(的)(经)(济)(复)(苏)(、工)(资)(增)(长)(的)(停)(滞)(、日)(元)(在)(意)(外)(实)(施)(负)(利)(率)(后)(的)(升)(值)(等)(因)(素)(抵)(消)(了)(诸)(如)(原)(油)(等)(进)(口)(物)(价)(的)(上)(涨)(,因)(此)(日)(本)(央)(行)(2%的)(通)(胀)(目)(标)(就)(变)(得)(难)(以)(实)(现)(。
  除)(此)(之)(外)(,日)(本)(央)(行)(本)(月)(1日)(发)(布)(的)(日)(银)(短)(观)(指)(数)(显)(示)(,3月)(日)(本)(大)(型)(制)(造)(业)(企)(业)(信)(心)(指)(数)(由)(上)(一)(季)(度)(的)(12降)(至)(6,创)(下)(三)(年)(来)(历)(史)(新)(低)(。调)(查)(显)(示)(,日)(本)(全)(行)(业)(企)(业)(普)(遍)(对)(未)(来)(经)(济)(形)(势)(持)(谨)(慎)(态)(度)(,其)(中)(制)(造)(业)(企)(业)(预)(计)(6月)(信)(心)(指)(数)(可)(能)(再)(降)(3个)(点)(,这)(凸)(显)(了)(大)(企)(业)(对)(未)(来)(经)(济)(走)(势)(的)(负)(面)(看)(法)(。
  在)(物)(价)(与)(工)(资)(水)(平)(对)(立)(以)(及)(企)(业)(景)(气)(度)(恶)(化)(的)(形)(势)(下)(,“安)(倍)(经)(济)(学)(”能)(发)(挥)(的)(余)(地)(越)(来)(越)(窄)(,日)(本)(经)(济)(对)(于)(出)(路)(的)(寻)(求)(还)(需)(要)(安)(倍)(在)(经)(济)(政)(策)(方)(面)(重)(新)(做)(出)(调)(整)(。
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